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Predicting disaster
Apr. 18th, 2006 01:33 pmIt's the 100 year anniversary of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. January was the 10 year anniversary of the Northridge quake.
They say that there is a 1-in-25 chance that another equally bad earthquake will hit San Fran in the next 25 years.
The other thing they keep saying is that the levees in SF aren't as good as the ones in New Orleans. So that, while those held, SF's would almost certainly fail and that would devastate the city. Also, that SF isn't prepared at all to face another quake like the 1906 one.
Part of the research into earthquakes is the study of shifting magnetic fields as a warning system. Because right now? We don't have one.
From one of the many articles I've read today: "San Francisco fell, and it will fall again," Fradkin said. "And if we can't deal with the realities of history, we're lost."
There's so much we can't control.
They say that there is a 1-in-25 chance that another equally bad earthquake will hit San Fran in the next 25 years.
The other thing they keep saying is that the levees in SF aren't as good as the ones in New Orleans. So that, while those held, SF's would almost certainly fail and that would devastate the city. Also, that SF isn't prepared at all to face another quake like the 1906 one.
Part of the research into earthquakes is the study of shifting magnetic fields as a warning system. Because right now? We don't have one.
From one of the many articles I've read today: "San Francisco fell, and it will fall again," Fradkin said. "And if we can't deal with the realities of history, we're lost."
There's so much we can't control.
